D 56/100
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Scored 2026-08-15T03:00:16.488Z · rubric v1.0.0 · market 559677
Why
| Factor | Points | Finding |
|---|---|---|
NO_URL | +30 | No resolution-source URL cited in market description. |
FAMILY_DISPUTES | +16 | Template family "Political declaration/appointment" carries historical UMA dispute weight 16/20. |
ORACLE_CONCENTRATION | +10 | Created pre-UMIP-189; resolves via permissionless OOv2 where proposer/voter concentration risk applies. |
Evidence
{
"citedUrls": [],
"liveness": [],
"family": "political_declaration",
"familyLabel": "Political declaration/appointment",
"oracleRegime": "OOV2_LEGACY",
"oracleRegimeNote": "Created pre-UMIP-189; resolves via permissionless OOv2 where proposer/voter concentration risk applies.",
"cadence": {
"applicable": false,
"reason": "no cited sources"
},
"endDate": "2028-11-07T00:00:00Z",
"volumeUsd": 43583723.76297003,
"dataSources": [
"Polymarket Gamma API",
"HTTP liveness probes",
"ResRisk template-family table v1",
"ResRisk host-cadence table v1"
],
"semantics": [
"Score is deterministic: identical public inputs reproduce it exactly.",
"Signature proves integrity of this assessment, not truth of the underlying market.",
"BOTWALL means machine-unverifiable, not dead.",
"Absence of a risk factor is not a guarantee of clean settlement."
]
}Embed: <img src="https://resrisk.xyz/badge/559677/svg"> · Signed copy: GET /v1/score/559677 ($0.007, x402)